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Degrees of evidence by the Joint WHO/FAO Expert Consultation

In the Joint WHO/FAO Expert Consultation, scientific evidence has been categorized into four different levels of strength depending on the number and type of studies carried out and the consistency of the results:

"Convincing evidence

Evidence based on epidemiological studies showing consistent associations between exposure and disease, with little or no evidence to the contrary. The available evidence is based on a substantial number of studies including prospective observational studies and where relevant, randomized controlled trials of sufficient size, duration and quality showing consistent effects. The association should be biologically plausible.

Probable evidence.

Evidence based on epidemiological studies showing fairly consistent associations between exposure and disease, but where there are perceived shortcomings in the available evidence or some evidence to the contrary, which precludes a more definite judgement. Shortcomings in the evidence may be any of the following: insufficient duration of trials (or studies); insufficient trials (or studies) available; inadequate sample sizes; incomplete follow-up. Laboratory evidence is usually supportive. Again, the association should be biologically plausible.

Possible evidence.

Evidence based mainly on findings from case-control and cross-sectional studies. Insufficient randomized controlled trials, observational studies or non-randomized controlled trials are available. Evidence based on non-epidemiological studies, such as clinical and laboratory investigations, is supportive. More trials are required to support the tentative associations, which should also be biologically plausible.

Insufficient evidence.

Evidence based on findings of a few studies which are suggestive, but are insufficient to establish an association between exposure and disease. Limited or no evidence is available from randomized controlled trials. More well designed research is required to support the tentative associations.

The strength of evidence linking dietary and lifestyle factors to the risk of developing obesity, type 2 diabetes, CVD [cardiovascular diseases], cancer, dental diseases, osteoporosis, graded according to the above categories, is summarized in tabular form, and attached to this report as an Annex [seewww.who.int/nutrition/topics/annex/en/index.html ]."

Source & © WHODiet, Nutrition and the prevention of chronic diseases (2003), Chapter 5 Population nutrient intake goals for preventing diet-related chronic diseases, 5.1 Overall goals, 5.1.2 Strength of evidence 
Chapter 5 Population nutrient intake goals for preventing diet-related chronic diseases, 5.1.3 A summary of population nutrient intake goals, Free sugars

Related publication:
Diet & Nutrition homeDiet and Nutrition Prevention of Chronic Diseases
Other Figures & Tables on this publication:

Table 1: Global and regional per capita food consumption (kcal per capita per day)

Table 2. Vegetable and animal sources of energy in the diet (kcal per capita per day)

Table 3: Vegetable and animal sources of energy in the diet (kcal per capita per day) Supply of fat (g per capita per day)

Table 4. Per capita consumption of livestock products

Table 6. Ranges of population nutrient intake goals

Table 7: Summary of strength of evidence on factors that might promote or protect against weight gain and obesitya

Table 8: Classification of overweight in adults according to BMIa

Table 9: Summary of strength of evidence on lifestyle factors and risk of developing type 2 diabetes  

Table 10: Summary of strength of evidence on lifestyle factors and risk of developing cardiovascular diseases  

Table 11: Summary of strength of evidence on lifestyle factors and the risk of developing cancer  

Table 12: Trends in levels of dental caries in 12-year-olds mean [number of] delayed, missing, filled permanent teeth (DMFT) per person aged 12 years [as a result of carries]

Table 13: Prevalence of toothlessness (edentulousness) in older people throughout the world

Table 14: Summary of strength of evidence linking diet to dental caries

Table 15: Summary of strength of evidence linking diet to dental erosion

Table 16: Summary of strength of evidence linking diet to enamel developmental defects

Table 17: Summary of strength of evidence linking diet to periodontal disease

Table 18: Summary of strength of evidence linking diet to osteoporotic fractures

Figure 3: Trends in the supply of vegetables, by region, 1970-2000

Figure 4: Ranges of population nutrient intake goals

Figure 2. Calories from major commodities in developing countries

Comment

Degrees of evidence by the Joint WHO/FAO Expert Consultation