TABLE 8: Energy demand by source and sector: reference scenario
|
ENERGY DEMAND (Mtoe) |
SHARE (Percentage) |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2005 |
2015 |
2030 |
2005 |
2015 |
2030 |
Note: .. = not available. Data presented are subject to
rounding. Source: IEA, 2007. |
Total primary energy supply by SOURCE |
7 228 |
8 755 |
10 023 |
11 429 |
14 361 |
17 721 |
100 % |
100 % |
100 % |
Coal |
1 786 |
2 216 |
2 292 |
2 892 |
3 988 |
4 994 |
25 % |
28 % |
28 % |
Oil |
3 106 |
3 216 |
3 647 |
4 000 |
4 720 |
5 585 |
35 % |
33 % |
32 % |
Gas |
1 237 |
1 676 |
2 089 |
2 354 |
3 044 |
3 948 |
21 % |
21 % |
22 % |
Nuclear |
186 |
525 |
675 |
714 |
804 |
854 |
6 % |
6 % |
5 % |
Hydro |
147 |
184 |
226 |
251 |
327 |
416 |
2 % |
2 % |
2 % |
Biomass and waste |
753 |
903 |
1 041 |
1 149 |
1 334 |
1 615 |
10 % |
9 % |
9 % |
Other renewable |
12 |
35 |
53 |
61 |
145 |
308 |
1 % |
1 % |
2 % |
|
Total energy consumption by SECTOR |
.. |
6 184 |
.. |
7 737 |
9 657 |
1 1861 |
100 % |
100 % |
100 % |
Residential, services and agriculture |
.. |
2 516 |
.. |
2 892 |
3 423 |
4 122 |
37 % |
35 % |
35 % |
industry |
.. |
2 197 |
.. |
2 834 |
3 765 |
4 576 |
37 % |
39 % |
39 % |
Transport |
.. |
1 471 |
.. |
2 011 |
2 469 |
3 163 |
26 % |
26 % |
27 % |
Oil |
.. |
1 378 |
.. |
1 895 |
2 296 |
2 919 |
94 % |
93 % |
92 % |
Biofuels |
.. |
6 |
.. |
19 |
57 |
102 |
1 % |
2 % |
3 % |
Other fuels |
.. |
87 |
.. |
96 |
117 |
142 |
5 % |
5 % |
4 % |
Source: FAO, The State of Food and Agriculture, Biofuels: Prospects, Risks and Opportunities (2008) ,
Chapter 4, Section Long-term projections for biofuel development, p.44
Related publication:
Other Figures & Tables on this publication:
TABLE 1: Biofuel production by country, 2007
TABLE 2: Biofuel yields for different feedstocks and countries
TABLE 3: Hypothetical potential for ethanol from principal cereal and sugar crops
TABLE 4: Voluntary and mandatory bioenergy targets for transport fuels in G8+5
countries
TABLE 5: Applied tariffs on ethanol in selected countries
TABLE 6: Total support estimates for biofuels in selected OECD economies in 2006
TABLE 7: Approximate average and variable rates of support per litre of biofuel in
selected OECD economies
TABLE 8: Energy demand by source and sector: reference scenario
TABLE 9: Land requirements for biofuel production
TABLE 10: Water requirements for biofuel crops
TABLE 11: Import bills of total food and major food commodities for 2007 and their
percentage increase over 2006
TABLE 12: Net importers of petroleum products and major cereals, ranked by
prevalence of undernourishment
TABLE 13: Share of net staple food-seller households among urban, rural and total
households
Box 1: Other types of biomass for heat, power and transport
Box 2: Biotechnology applications for biofuels
Box 3: Biofuel policies in Brazil
Box 4: Biofuel policies in the United States of America
Box 5: Biofuel policies in the European Union
Box 6: Main sources of uncertainty for biofuel projections
Box 7: Biofuels and the World Trade Organization
Box 8: Biofuels and preferential trade initiatives
Box 9: The Global Bioenergy Partnership
Box 10: Biofuels and the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Box 11: Jatropha – a “miracle” crop?
Box 12: Agricultural growth and poverty reduction
Box 13: Cotton in the Sahel
Box 14: Biofuel crops and the land issue in the United Republic of Tanzania
Figure 1: World primary energy demand by source, 2005
Figure 2: Total primary energy demand by source and region, 2005
Figure 3: Trends in consumption of transport biofuels
Figure 4: Biofuels – from feedstock to end use
Figure 5: Uses of biomass for energy
Figure 6: Conversion of agricultural feedstocks into liquid biofuels
Figure 7: Estimated ranges of fossil energy balances of selected fuel types
Figure 8: Support provided at different points in the biofuel supply chain
Figure 9: Biofuel production costs in selected countries, 2004 and 2007
Figure 10: Breakeven prices for crude oil and selected feedstocks in 2005
Figure 11: Breakeven prices for maize and crude oil in the United States of
America
Figure 12: Breakeven prices for maize and crude oil with and without subsidies
Figure 13: Maize and crude oil breakeven prices and observed prices, 2003–08
Figure 14: Price relationships between crude oil and other biofuel feedstocks,
2003-08
Figure 15: Food commodity price trends 1971–2007, with projections to 2017
Figure 16: Global ethanol production, trade and prices, with projections to 2017
Figure 17: Major ethanol producers, with projections to 2017
Figure 18: Global biodiesel production, trade and prices, with projections to 2017
Figure 19: Major biodiesel producers, with projections to 2017
Figure 20: Total impact of removing trade-distorting biofuel policies for ethanol,
2013–17 average
Figure 21: Total impact of removing trade-distorting biofuel policies for
biodiesel, 2013–17 average
Figure 22: Life-cycle analysis for greenhouse gas balances
Figure 23: Reductions in greenhouse gas emissions of selected biofuels relative to
fossil fuels
Figure 24: Potential for cropland expansion
Figure 25: Potential for yield increase for selected biofuel feedstock crops
Figure 26: Potential for irrigated area expansion
Figure 27: Agricultural trade balance of least-developed countries
Figure 28: Distribution of poor net buyers and sellers of staple foods1
Figure 29: Average welfare gain/loss from a 10 percent increase in the price of
the main staple, by income (expenditure) quintile for rural and urban households