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Indigenous knowledge and observations of current trends

The weather seems less stable and predictable.

"From sources of indigenous knowledge across the Arctic come reports that the weather seems more variable, unfamiliar, and is behaving unexpectedly and outside the norm. Experienced hunters and elders who could predict the weather using traditional techniques are now frequently unable to do so. Storms often occur without warning. Wind direction changes suddenly. In many places it is increasingly cloudy. Storms bringing high winds and lightning occur with increasing frequency in some locations. As noted by several elders, “the weather today is harder to know". This presents problems for many activities, from hunting to drying fish, on which Indigenous Peoples depend.

  • "Right now the weather is unpredictable. In the older days, the elders used to predict the weather and they were always right, but right now, when they try to predict the weather, it's always something different." Z. Aqqiaruq, Igloolik, Canada, 2000
  • "The periods of weather are no longer the norm. We had certain stable decisive periods of the year that formed the traditional norms. These are no longer at their places… Nowadays the traditional weather forecasting cannot be done anymore as I could before… For the markers in the sky we look now in vain… Heikki Hirvasvuopio, Kakslauttanen, Finland, 2002

Source & © ACIA Impacts of a Warming Arctic: Arctic Climate Impact Assessment  (2004),
 Key Finding #8, p.96

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Surface Reflectivity

Projected Vegetation, 2090-2100

Arctic Marine Food Web

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Map subregions sub-II

Map subregions sub-III

Map subregions sub-IV

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Carbon cycle in the Arctic

Projected Arctic Surface Air Temperatures

Freshwater food web

Projected opening of northern navigation routes

Factors influencing UV at the surface

1000 years of changes in carbon emissions

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Projected Surface Air Temperature change 1990-2090

Melt of the Greenland Ice Sheet

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Spruce Bark Beetle

Spruce Budworm

Peary Caribou

The Porcupine Caribou Herd

The Gwich’in and the Porcupine Caribou Herd

A permafrost primer

Seals Become Elusive for Inuit in Nunavut

Observed Climate Change Impacts in Sachs Harbour, Canada

Indigenous knowledge and observations of current trends

Case study of interacting changes: Saami reindeer herders

Indigenous knowledge and observations of current trends

Indigenous knowledge and observations of current trends

Indigenous knowledge and observations of current trends

Footnotes